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Guinness Six Nations 2025 – Round 5 | Who’s playing, where to watch and latest predictions

The 2025 Six Nations concludes with a thrilling Super Saturday on 15th March. Italy welcomes Ireland to the Stadio Olimpico in Rome to kick off the final round.

The action then moves to Cardiff, where Wales will battle England at the Principality Stadium.

The Championship wraps up later that evening, as France take on Scotland at the Stade de France.

Match Details

What: Italy vs Ireland

Where: Stadio Olimpico, Rome

When: Saturday 15th March, 14:15

How to Watch: ITV1


Match Preview

The Six Nations Championship 2025 is heading toward a thrilling finale, with three teams still in contention for the title. Ireland, currently third in the standings, will face Italy in Rome, with the opportunity to climb to the top. A victory would put pressure on England and France, who will need to reclaim the pole position later in the day.

Italy’s Fight to Avoid the Wooden Spoon

While Ireland eyes the title, Italy is focused on avoiding the wooden spoon. Despite a victory over Wales earlier in the tournament, Italy is only one point ahead of their rivals and has no bonus points. Their record against Ireland is dismal, with a 15-game losing streak dating back to 2013. Italy has suffered heavy defeats, including a 36-0 loss in Dublin last year, with an average margin of 32.4 points in their last five meetings.

Italy’s coach, Gonzalo Quesada, made several tactical changes after a heavy 47-point loss to England. He dropped captain Michele Lamaro to the bench, giving the armband to Ignacio Brex, and moved Ange Capuozzo to right wing, with Tommaso Allan replacing him at fullback. However, Allan’s form has been underwhelming, scoring only one try in 20 appearances this season. Italy will need to improve defensively to challenge Ireland.

Ireland’s hopes were dealt a blow in their previous match against France, where an unfortunate injury to star player Antoine Dupont disrupted their performance. Head coach Simon Easterby defended his players, especially Tadhg Beirne and Andrew Porter, amid accusations from French coach Fabien Galthié of stirring ill-feeling. Despite the setback, Ireland remains strong, with a 15-2 record in Six Nations matches as favorites since 2022, including six wins from seven away games. Ireland will be confident of extending their winning streak against Italy to 16 matches.

One key development is the recall of fly-half Jack Crowley, who has been linked to Leicester Tigers as a potential replacement for Handrè Pollard. Easterby emphasized Crowley’s importance to Irish rugby, signaling that the 24-year-old has a central role in the team’s future. Crowley’s return is part of six changes, including the return of wingers James Lowe and Mack Hansen and center Garry Ringrose, who is back from suspension. Jack Conan also makes his second start of the tournament after impressing as a substitute.

Ireland’s chances of winning the Six Nations are slim, but they still have a mathematical shot. Their only hope is a commanding win over Italy and results elsewhere falling in their favor. With a strong historical record against Italy, anything less than a comfortable victory would be a major surprise.

Players to Watch: Capuozzo, Menoncello & Conan

Key players to watch include Italy’s Ange Capuozzo and Tommaso Menoncello, both standout performers this year, and Irish blindside flanker Jack Conan, who has scored three consecutive tries in the tournament. Conan’s presence could prove troublesome for Italy’s defense.

Italy’s Six Nations campaign has seen high-scoring first halves, with the opening 40 minutes producing the most points in all their matches. If that trend continues, fans could be in for an explosive start to this clash in Rome.



Prediction


Italy vs Ireland Lineups

Team Lineups

Italy Rugby Logo

Italy

15 Tommaso Allan
14 Ange Capuozzo
13 Juan Ignacio Brex (Captain)
12 Tommaso Menoncello
11 Monty Ioane
10 Paolo Garbisi
9 Martin Page-Relo
1 Danilo Fischetti
2 Gianmarco Lucchesi
3 Simone Ferrari
4 Dino Lamb
5 Federico Ruzza
6 Sebastian Negri
7 Manuel Zuliani
8 Lorenzo Cannone

Replacements

16 Giacomo Nicotera
17 Mirco Spagnolo
18 Giosue Zilocchi
19 Niccolo Cannone
20 Michele Lamaro
21 Ross Vintcent
22 Stephen Varney
23 Leonardo Marin

Ireland Rugby Logo

Ireland

15 Hugo Keenan
14 Mack Hansen
13 Garry Ringrose
12 Robbie Henshaw
11 James Lowe
10 Jack Crowley
9 Jamison Gibson-Park
1 Andrew Porter
2 Dan Sheehan
3 Finlay Bealham
4 James Ryan
5 Tadhg Beirne
6 Jack Conan
7 Josh van der Flier
8 Caelan Doris (Captain)

Replacements

16 Gus McCarthy
17 Jack Boyle
18 Tadhg Furlong
19 Joe McCarthy
20 Peter O’Mahony
21 Conor Murray
22 Sam Prendergast
23 Bundee Aki


LAST 5 FIXTURES

LAST 5 FIXTURES

DateTeamScoreTeam
11.02.24Ireland36 – 0Italy
05.08.23Ireland33 – 17Italy
25.02.23Italy20 – 34Ireland
27.02.22Ireland57 – 6Italy
27.02.21Italy10 – 48Ireland

Match Details

What: Wales vs England

Where: Principality Stadium, Cardiff

When: Saturday 15th March, 16:45

How to Watch: BBC1


Match Preview

The 2025 Six Nations Championship is coming to a dramatic conclusion this Saturday, with four teams still vying for the prestigious title, while two others are desperately trying to avoid the dreaded wooden spoon. The fate of these teams will be sealed through a series of intense matches across Rome, Cardiff, and Paris, with the clash between Wales and England at the Principality Stadium playing a pivotal role in shaping both ends of the table.

Wales’ Struggle for Survival

Wales enters the final round in sixth place, with just three points to their name. While it may seem like a tough hill to climb, they still have a glimmer of hope. Their fate largely hinges on Italy’s performance against Ireland in the first match of the day. If Italy loses without securing any bonus points, Wales could still leapfrog them into fifth position with a solid performance against England.

Even with a defeat, if Wales manages to secure a bonus point, they could escape the wooden spoon for the first time in two years. But it’s a delicate balance—they need Ireland to win in Rome, and the bonus points must work in their favor to see them move up the table.

England’s Quest for Glory

On the other hand, England, currently sitting in second place, is only one point behind the leaders, France, and one point ahead of the defending champions, Ireland. To claim their first Six Nations title since 2020, England needs to secure a bonus-point victory over Wales. However, that’s not all—they also need France to drop points in their match against Scotland later in the day.

In a more likely scenario, England could still win the championship if they defeat Wales without a bonus point, as long as France fails to secure a victory. The situation is complex, but one thing is clear: England will do whatever it takes to clinch the title and end their recent Six Nations drought.

Wales, aiming to snap a 16-match losing streak—the longest in the professional era for any Tier 1 nation—has made a few changes to their starting lineup. Joe Roberts replaces Tom Rodgers on the wing, after Rodgers suffered a fractured thumb. Additionally, Aaron Wainwright takes over from Tommy Reffell in the back row, as Wales looks to build on their recent improvements under interim head coach, Warren Gatland.

Despite their struggles, Wales has shown significant growth in their last two performances. Notably, they retained possession from all 15 of their lineouts against Scotland, setting a new record for any match in the Six Nations, except when facing Italy. Dafydd Jenkins also impressed with an incredible 28 tackles against Scotland, a feat only three players have surpassed in Six Nations history. Taulupe Faletau’s efforts have been commendable as well, contributing heavily in carries, tackles, rucks, and defensive work.

England, under Steve Borthwick, has made a few changes as well, especially after their impressive victory over Italy last Sunday. Ben Curry comes in at outside flanker, forming a dynamic pairing with his twin brother, Tom. Marcus Smith returns at full-back, and Tom Roebuck replaces Ollie Sleightholme on the wing.

What stood out in England’s win over Italy was their departure from their traditional kicking game, opting instead for a more attacking approach. This shift proved effective as England beat 36 defenders, their fourth-highest total in a Six Nations match. It remains to be seen whether Borthwick will encourage a similar attacking mindset in Cardiff, where England will aim for their fourth consecutive win in this year’s campaign and look to extend their dominance over Wales, having won six of their last eight encounters since 2020.

Key Players to Watch

There are several players to keep an eye on in this crucial matchup. For Wales, Ben Thomas is a standout. He scored a vital try in the victory over Scotland and is gaining confidence with each game. On the English side, Tommy Freeman is on fire, having scored in each of the first four rounds of the Six Nations. Now, playing in the centre, Freeman will be targeting his sixth consecutive try in the tournament—an impressive feat for the young winger.

A Hot Stat to Consider

England’s away form has been inconsistent in recent Six Nations campaigns. They’ve conceded more than 24 points in each of their last five away games, a statistic they’ll need to address if they’re to secure a victory in Cardiff.


Prediction


Wales vs England Lineups

Team Lineups

Wales Rugby Logo

Wales

15 Blair Murray
14 Ellis Mee
13 Max Llewellyn
12 Ben Thomas
11 Joe Roberts
10 Gareth Anscombe
9 Tomos Williams
1 Nicky Smith
2 Elliot Dee
3 WillGriff John
4 Will Rowlands
5 Dafydd Jenkins
6 Aaron Wainwright
7 Jac Morgan (Captain)
8 Taulupe Faletau

Replacements

16 Dewi Lake
17 Gareth Thomas
18 Keiron Assiratti
19 Teddy Williams
20 Tommy Reffell
21 Rhodri Williams
22 Jarrod Evans
23 Nick Tompkins

England Rugby Logo

England

15 Marcus Smith
14 Tom Roebuck
13 Tommy Freeman
12 Fraser Dingwall
11 Elliot Daly
10 Fin Smith
9 Alex Mitchell
1 Ellis Genge
2 Luke Cowan-Dickie
3 Will Stuart
4 Maro Itoje (Captain)
5 Ollie Chessum
6 Tom Curry
7 Ben Curry
8 Ben Earl

Replacements

16 Jamie George
17 Fin Baxter
18 Joe Heyes
19 Chandler Cunningham-South
20 Henry Pollock
21 Tom Willis
22 Jack van Poortvliet
23 George Ford


LAST 5 FIXTURES

LAST 5 FIXTURES

DateTeamScoreTeam
10.02.24England16 – 14Wales
12.08.23England19 – 17Wales
05.08.23Wales20 – 9England
25.02.23Wales10 – 20England
26.02.22England23 – 19Wales

Match Details

What: France vs Scotland

Where: Stade de France, Paris

When: Saturday 15th March, 20:00

How to Watch: ITV1


Preview

.The 2025 Six Nations Championship will reach its thrilling conclusion at the Stade de France, where France will host Scotland. With the Auld Alliance Trophy up for grabs, the match carries even more weight as France chases their seventh SNC title. A win would tie them with England for the most titles in the tournament’s history. But the stakes are higher than ever, especially following their stunning victory over Ireland, which has put Les Bleus in pole position.

France’s Title Dream on the Line

A commanding 42-27 win over Ireland at the Aviva Stadium last weekend left France at the top of the standings, just one point ahead of England. That victory marked a historic moment, as it handed Ireland their heaviest home defeat in over a decade. But what truly made waves was the bold decision to implement the 7-1 bench split, a strategy that clearly paid off in Dublin and set the stage for a historic final clash with Scotland.

However, the win didn’t come without its costs. France lost their influential scrumhalf, Antoine Dupont, to a serious knee injury, which is expected to sideline him for six to nine months. His absence is a massive blow, but the team is rallying in his honor. Dupont’s teammates are more determined than ever to capture the title and rewrite the record books.



France isn’t just fighting for the championship – they’re eyeing several significant milestones. One of their goals is to extend their remarkable streak of winning the last six Round 5 matches in the Six Nations, a record that’s tied for the longest such run in Championship history. With their formidable home form, having won 15 consecutive matches at the Stade de France, they’re confident of continuing this streak.

In addition to the title, France is only four tries away from surpassing England’s 2001 tally of 29 tournament tries. And if they score 47 points or more in this final match, they’ll set the record for the most points in a single campaign. France is set to make history, and all eyes will be on them to see how they finish the tournament.

Key Players to Watch

Coach Fabien Galthié’s side sees just two injury-related changes to their matchday 23. Maxime Lucu steps in at scrumhalf, and Gael Fickou returns to center, keeping Thomas Ramos at fullback. Ramos, who is just seven points shy of breaking France’s all-time points record, will be looking to become the country’s highest-ever scorer, overtaking Frédéric Michalak’s tally of 436.

Winger Louis Bielle-Biarrey, in fine form, could also play a pivotal role in France’s quest for the title. If he scores, he’ll set the record for the most tries by a player in a single campaign, further adding to the excitement of this final match.

Scotland Faces Uphill Battle

For Scotland, the challenge of playing at the Stade de France is daunting. With two wins and two defeats in this year’s campaign, they’ve failed to live up to expectations. A victory over France would not only secure a moral victory but could also hand England the title if they manage to defeat Wales. It’s a tough spot for coach Gregor Townsend and his squad, who face a French team that has won 20 of their last 25 encounters with Scotland.

Townsend has made a couple of key changes to the starting XV, bringing in lock Gregor Brown and number eight Matt Fagerson in an attempt to shift the momentum. The Scots will need a monumental effort to overcome France, and they’ll be hoping that scrumhalf Ben White, who has been in strong form, can deliver another try-scoring performance.


Prediction


France vs Scotland Lineups

Team Lineups

France Rugby Logo

France

15 Thomas Ramos
14 Damian Penaud
13 Gael Fickou
12 Yoram Moefana
11 Louis Bielle-Biarrey
10 Romain Ntamack
9 Maxime Lucu
1 Jean-Baptiste Gros
2 Peato Mauvaka
3 Uini Atonio
4 Thibaud Flament
5 Mickael Guillard
6 Francois Cros
7 Paul Boudehent
8 Gregory Alldritt (Captain)

Replacements

16 Julien Marchand
17 Cyril Baille
18 Dorian Aldegheri
19 Hugo Auradou
20 Emmanuel Meafou
21 Oscar Jegou
22 Anthony Jelonch
23 Nolann Le Garrec

Scotland Rugby Logo

Scotland

15 Blair Kinghorn
14 Darcy Graham
13 Huw Jones
12 Tom Jordan
11 Duhan van der Merwe
10 Finn Russell (Co-captain)
9 Ben White
1 Pierre Schoeman
2 Dave Cherry
3 Zander Fagerson
4 Gregor Brown
5 Grant Gilchrist
6 Jamie Ritchie
7 Rory Darge (Co-captain)
8 Matt Fagerson

Replacements

16 Ewan Ashman
17 Rory Sutherland
18 Will Hurd
19 Jonny Gray
20 Marshall Sykes
21 Ben Muncaster
22 Jamie Dobie
23 Stafford McDowall


Recent Head-to-Head Results

LAST 5 FIXTURES

LAST 5 FIXTURES

DateTeamScoreTeam
10.02.24Scotland16 – 20France
12.08.23France30 – 27Scotland
05.08.23Scotland25 – 21France
26.02.23France32 – 21Scotland
26.02.22Scotland17 – 36France

Quick Links

Guinness Six Nations 2025 | Your Complete Guide

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